Session One
Every country is built on a certain economy; controlling, managing,
sustaining is the main major role of an economy; Economy means the largest
set of inter-related economic production and consumption activities which
aid in determining how scarce resources are allocated.
Each economy must encompass every single detail that is related to the
production and consumption of goods and services in a certain allocated
area, trying to sustain it in a way that might help to prosper and develop
certain sectors.
In each economy there are two different types of policies; fiscal and
monetary policy:
The fiscal policy: is a policy stimulated by the
policy makers, it is divided into taxation law and government spending; the
government can adjust these laws in order to modify the amount of
non-refundable income available to its tax payers, for example a government
could ask more taxes from individual which makes them have less amount of
money used in spending on goods and services, then the government could use
those money to inject it back again into certain companies and markets by
something called Government Spending. The higher the government spending
means that they are going to demand more taxes from individuals in the
economy; but the major disadvantage of this policy is that it might take
time in order to achieve all that.
The Monetary Policy: is the second type of
polices used in managing a certain economy, this type of policy is mainly
controlled by central banks, meaning that they control the supply of money
into the economy, by putting cost on the borrowing of these money with some
thing called Interest Rates. Interest rates are defined as the percentage
amount of money charged on borrowed or lent money, as it could be variable
or fixed.
Another classification to an economy is, open and closed economy; an open
economy means that it has bilateral trade with other economies all around
the world for example the United States. A closed economy has a limited
regulated trade with other world economies like china.
Inside each economy there is a Financial System; Financial System is “found
to organize the settlement of payments, to raise and allocate finance and to
manage the risks associated with financing and exchange; developed to secure
efficient payment system, security markets and financial intermediaries that
arrange financing and derivative markets and financial institutions that
provide access to risk management instruments”.
There are two major roles of a financial system; the first one is to
organize surplus funds from people and organizations, and to reallocate them
into deficit facing organizations or people; as those mobilized funds are
used to generate returns for the surplus entities, by enabling deficit
entities to augment their productive and purchasing capacities.
A financial system contains something called financial markets; a financial
market is a mechanism that allows people to easily buy and sell financial
securities, commodities,
and other
fungible items of value at low
transaction costs and at prices that reflect
efficient market hypothesis.
Securities: “essentially a contract that can be
assigned a value and traded”.
Commodities: “ a tangible good, or product that are subject of sale or
barter, such as grains, metals, and foods traded on commodities exchange or
on spot market”.
Fungible: “it is a specified type of commodities; it is defined with a
certain type of good that must be given without any changes in the
contract”.
Transaction cost: “cost incurred when buying or selling securities, which
includes commission and spreads (the difference between the prices the
dealer paid for a security and the prices at which it can sold)”.
Efficient Market hypothesis: “means that each share price in a market must
reflect all relevant information".
Session Two
Investor is a person who invests in any different type of markets, for
example equities, commodities derivatives, currencies, real estate; as this
term is connected with the individual who is looking for profit from a
certain investment. Types of investors' can be classified on certain
criterion which is known by risk (the possibility of suffering damage or
loss).
Risk is calculated by dividing the standard deviation over the historical
average returns.
Risk = Standard Deviation /Average Returns
Speculators:
Are type of investors' who take higher than average risks, seeking for
abnormal profits, as they are mainly concerned about speculating which might
be the futuristic prices of a certain asset e.g. currency or a commodity;
mainly they are involved in buying and selling future and option contracts
in the short term, as they represent almost 70% if investors'; which might
be known by "Risk Seekers".
Hedgers:
Are types of investors' who tries to avoid or cancel any risks that can be
accompanied with certain investment, they try to take positions that might
prevent them from any potential losses, these types of investors' are widely
found in markets that are full of uncertainties and high volatility. There
are many types of hedging positions like natural hedges, hedging credit
risk, hedging currency risk, hedging equity and equity futures. Which are
also known by "Risk Neutrals".
Arbitragers:
Are types of investors' who buy securities in one market then immediately
resell it in another market in order to profit from prices divergence, as
this type of dealing is only suggested only for well experienced investors'
as any delay in transactions could result of huge losses; the effect of
these transaction would result in adjusting price differences between
markets.
Markets:
There are three types of markets
Factor market: it is the types of markets that
include all features of production for example land, labor, capital.
Product market: is the market that includes all
distributing products like food, goods and services.
Financial markets:
Types of financial markets
Primary market:
type of market that only sells the newly issued securities.
Secondary market:
it’s a market where buyers buy from the seller rather than getting it from
issuing company.
Over the counter market (OTC):
it’s a type of market that trades occur via phone or a network instead of a
physical trading. Those types of markets are found for companies that do not
meet the exchange listing requirements. Inside the OTC market there are:
-Market makers: it’s a type of firm that takes in a certain type and number
of shares in order to ease the trading in this security, each market maker
displays buy and sell quotations for a certain number of shares, when the
order is set the market maker instantly sells from his inventory, as this
transaction takes only a small amount of time; for example NASDAQ is
considered to be a market maker. The market maker profits from the spread,
which is the difference between the prices for buying and the prices at
which they are willing to sell at.
- Ask prices: is the price the seller is willing to take for a certain type
of security and besides the ask prices their will be the amount of
securities the market maker is willing to sell; which are also known by the
Bears.
- Bid prices: the prices the buyer is willing to take, which is the opposite
of the ask prices, the bulls in the markets are known by the bidders.
Money Market:
is a type of market instruments that mature in less than one year as they
are very liquid, the instruments involved in this market have fixed income
and low risk for example treasury bills and commercial papers.
Capital Market: it’s a market of trading more risky instruments with a
longer maturity date, as this market consists of the primary and the
secondary markets.
Bond market:
"the place were the issuance and the trading of the debt securities occur",
as most bond market instruments are traded in the OTC market.
Stock market:
is the market in which shares are traded through exchange floor or
over-the-counter, which is known by another name equity market, this market
helps investors' to have a partial ownership in a certain company, and some
gains or dividends based on the company's performance.
-A stock is defined as share of ownership in a certain company, and the more
stocks you obtain the bigger your share in the company, which is confirmed
by a certain piece of paper called a certificate. The managers of a company
are supposed to increase the value of those investments to increase the
confidence of investors' in the company to raise its share price.
-There are two types of stocks, preferred and common stocks. A common stock
are type of shares that are released to public were any body can acquire; a
preferred stocks are another type of stocks that are sold to certain people,
not publicly available. The difference between both types of stocks is that
preferred stocks have the priority in taking distributed dividends and in
the liquidation of the company.
Functions of Financial markets
Borrowing and lending: financial markets provides money to investors', by
giving out certain amount of money but with certain interests which is known
by cost of borrowing.
Price determination: sets or defines fixed or volatile prices for each type
of instrument in the market.
Information collection and analysis: provides information for market
participants to value or estimate prices of a certain instrument.
Risk sharing: financial markets eliminate a type of risk known by systematic
risk, by diversifying investments.
Liquidity: markets provide sufficient amount of buyers and sellers helping
any investors' to directly convert instruments into cash
Efficiency: markets reflecting all the publicly available information on a
certain instrument.
Major market participant
· Broker: a broker's job is to locate a buyer to the seller, as they involve
in
assets transformation.
· Dealer: smoothes the process of matching the buyer with the seller.
· Investment banks: contributes in selling the newly issued securities.
· Financial intermediaries: They are foundations that act as mediator
between investors and
firms.
Session Three:
Derivatives:
Are type of securities that their value is abstracted from other financial
instruments; these types of derivates are used as a hedging bargain to stop
any losses from any reversal movement in the market, so the main use is to
"Control Risk"; it is mainly used with currency and interest rates.
The derivative is used by the three types of investors:
Hedgers: the Hedger uses the derivates in order
to minimize the losses by taking a position opposite to the transaction that
he/she is having, so if the market reverse no major losses will occur.
Speculators: the speculator will get in market
just looking for abnormal profits, with accepting higher risk, by taking an
open position.
Arbitragers: the arbitrager try's to look for
low risk profit, by taking advantage of difference in prices.
A derivative includes different types of instruments:
- Forward Contracts: are negotiated between two parties, to buy a long
position and
sell a short position of a specified amount of a commodity, as the
buyer hold the right to
undertake the action but not obligated, and setting the price
(known by the spot price) of
the commodity at a specified date.
- Future Contracts: are standardized contracts that are traded on a
regulated floors,
obligating the delivery of the agreed amount of commodity or a currency
or an instrument
for example treasury bonds, foreign currency. These types of contracts
are considered to
have low risk.
- Options: is a contract that designed to specify in it the quantity of a
certain commodity
with the specified date of transaction, were options have the right to
buy or sell but not the
obligation.
There are two types of option contracts:
- Call option: gives the buyer the right to buy (but not the obligation) a
specified amount of
securities at a certain price at a set date.
- Put option: gives the buyer the right to sell (but not the obligation) to
the writer of the
option by a certain prices and a specified date.
Swaps: "is a flexible, private, forward-based contract or agreement, which
is used to hedge against exchange risk from mismatched currencies on assets
and liabilities.
There are different types risk associated with derivatives:
Basis risk: it is the price of the hedged asset subtracted from it the price
of the derivative contract.
Credit risk: it's the risk of the chance of one party offsetting the
financial obligation under the contract.
Market risk: it's the loss due to changes in the value of the derivative,
including different types of risks control, accounting and legal risks.
Session Four:
Market Mechanism:
Depth:
Market depth is defined as the capability of the market to generate enough
or extra orders without having an affect on the price of a security, as it
can be defined in another way, it is measured also with the liquidity, the
more liquid the markets are the more depth it has; moving security prices in
large markets is really hard, because of the depth of the markets large
orders must be taken in order to change prices slightly.
There are certain factors which affect market depth:
- Tick Size
- Prices movement restriction
- Trading restriction
- Allowable leverage
- Market Transparency
But there is a very big role that takes place in the markets that we can't
ignore, which is known by investors' rationality, or market psychology.
Markets in general are really built on speculations, forecasts and fears; if
certain gossip spreads in markets average investors' would really panic
which at the end leads them to take irrational acts, that could really
affect the trend that is going into markets, but let's not forget the bigger
influential which is known by attitude toward risk. We all know a rational
investor won't really take into consideration any spread of rumors into
markets they will concentrate more risk; but the enigma starts when the
amount of average investors' in markets gets bigger which would eventually
affect the overall movement, obligating rational investors' to take
different actions to wipe away any extra risk that can be added on them.